Dark clouds hovering over SEA democracy

DR BRIDGET WELSH | 3:22PM Dec 31, 2013

COMMENT As 2013 draws to a close, it has not been a good year for democracy in South-East Asia. Recent news has riveted on the protests in Thailand, where those dissatisfied with the current leadership of Yingluck Shinawatra and her amnesty provisions have taken to the streets rather than opt for a solution through elections.

Throughout the year, however, there have been worrying signs that the increase of authoritarian practices, intolerance, failings in governance and discontent from the public at large have been on the rise in the region.

While the Philippines celebrated one of the fairest and non-violence legislative elections in its history in May, two of the countries in the region experienced among the worst elections in their history.

In both Malaysia and Cambodia, there were legitimate reports of foreigners voting, blackouts during counts, significant discrepancies in the results, failures to follow basic procedures to assure the professional non-biased handling of ballots and stacking of the decks through the placement of voters in constituencies on deeply problematic electoral rolls.

In both polls, protests dogged the results and even months later, large sections of the population continue to believe that the polls were illegitimate. In Cambodia, the opposition has boycotted parliament, and protests continue. The scope of the irregularities remain serious enough to question the legitimacy of both governments.

It is this very weakness and knowledge that these governments were not elected in free and fair polls that has led to further denials and resistance to reform the institutions regulating elections, the respective election commissions.

In the region, the electoral core of democracy is under threat, with this sowing the ground for extremism, anger and violence. Thailand clearly shows the impact of a loss of faith in the electoral process, which is taking root in other countries as well. The call for genuine electoral reform is more pressing than ever.

Governance deficits

The challenges for democracy are being compounded by governments that have failed to deliver on their promises. For decades, South-East Asia’s stability has rested in part on economic development, as infrastructure and incomes have improved. This process has both slowed and become more uneven since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, with widening inequalities and importantly narrowing opportunities for social mobility.

The dominant strategy has been the use of populist initiatives in cash handouts and subsidies. This practice has extended from Thailand to Indonesia in part because it is easy.

Not only has it placed strains on finances – with the Thai rice subsidy costing billions of dollars – it has failed to achieve its aim of bringing more people towards a sustainable quality livelihood. The impact of programmes, such as the expanded affirmative action programme – the Bumiputera Economic Empowerment Programme (BEEP) for bumiputeras in Malaysia – has been increased dependence.

This is akin to drug addicts, in which the government gives the beneficiaries a temporary fix rather than fundamentally addressing the core issues of poverty, social mobility and inequality.

A striking feature of the Najib Razak administration has been the complete void in a meaningful development policy. All of these populist “fixes” are being accompanied with rising inflation as the costs of living have sharply risen which has fueled even more dependence. Sadly these populist strategies have ironically contributed to greater inequality, hurting the people that they are supposed to help the most.

As the disconnect between governance and economic empowerment of South-East Asians has evolved, there has been one consistency – corruption. Those at the top are taking from the people without remorse. The entitlement of elites in power is a rot inside the system that perpetuates inequality.

Scandals have riveted the Philippines where nearly 50 senior officials are now under arrest for syphoning funds to bogus NGOs from public development funds, namely the Congress Development Assistance Fund (PDAF). Elsewhere in the region, funds are mysteriously supporting government-linked NGOs without accountability and transparency.

There is a certain degree of numbness that has come from the steady battery of scandalous revelations, as more people across the region are disheartened with the failure of enforcement and legal bodies to impose the rule of law.

Authoritarian practices

This sense of dismay with governance has contributed to the rise of authoritarian nostalgia in the region, with people turning to the ‘good ol’ days’ of the past.

In Indonesia, where ongoing campaigns for the legislative assembly are in full swing, there are calls to return to the Indonesia of old with bumper stickers of Suharto (promoted by his son-in-law and controversial presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto). Prabowo is linked to serious human rights abuses in Timor L’este in 1999. Authoritarian nostalgia is often meshed with nationalistic rabble-rousing dividing the region, and in some cases, societies.

Attacking the ‘other’ has been a common authoritarian practice. Whether over sexuality, religion, race or political affiliation, there has been consistency in the targeting of minorities within countries.

Religious freedom has come centre stage, with many feeling that their right to practice their faith is under threat. This is happening in Malaysia, from Christians to the Shiites.

Similar challenges can be found across the region. Of particular concern is the hate speech by the anti-Muslim 969 movement in Myanmar, with striking parallels to the anti-Christians move in Malaysia who felt it appropriate to recently berate Christians around one of the most sacred holidays.

Governments have stood by and in some cases been involved in the targeting of minorities, especially in their government-linked presses. Intolerance has morphed into practices that lack decency and a basic appreciation of human dignity.

The targeting of minorities is a honed tool to distract attention from deficits in governance and channel the disappointment with policy failures. It sows anger and violence. Sadly, the year has been marked by a rise in violent incidents reflecting a lack of faith in government institutions and growing frustration. Be it the riot in Little India in Singapore or the bombing of the Buddhist temple in Jakarta in August. There are costs to pay for perpetuating indifference, fueling hatred and letting it continue to boil.

Moving forward

The trajectory of democracy is not a linear one. While 2013 may have been difficult for democracy, and it would appear with rising costs, unresolved political polarisation and simmering tensions, these trends are likely to continue, the new year brings the opportunity to learn and regroup.

We must have faith in one another and the shared humanity of all of us across different faiths. We must harness hope, especially among young people whose ingenuity and zeal offers us ideas and energy to address today’s challenges. Finally, we must not let despair overshadow our ability to develop innovative solutions to problem solve.

Amidst the dark clouds, there are those continuing to be pushing for light. The year has seen more ordinary people in Southeast Asia take power into their own hands to call for changes, either at the ballot box or on the streets.

Never underestimate the intelligence of ordinary people. Even in the most challenging environment, the silent majority in the region do not condone the practices of bigotry and violence.

Ironically, it is the very power of these demands for fairness and dignity that are provoking the more authoritarian responses. It is these underlying forces that offer the most promise for the year ahead.

DR BRIDGET WELSH is associate professor of political science at Singapore Management University. She can be reached at [email protected].

  1. #1 by lee tai king (previously dagen) on Monday, 6 January 2014 - 5:48 pm

    According to analyst indonesia is a future economic powerhouse.

    Meanwhile, umno of malaysia continues to orgy over outdated and irrelevant and almost always non-existent issues.

  2. #2 by yhsiew on Monday, 6 January 2014 - 5:59 pm

    The orgy over outdated and irrelevant and almost always non-existent issues is meant to divert the rakyat’s attention from government mismanagement of the national economy.

  3. #3 by boh-liao on Monday, 6 January 2014 - 11:26 pm

    Watch out, BW, HOW DARE U wrote
    legitimate reports of foreigners voting, blackouts during counts, significant discrepancies in the results, failures to follow basic procedures to @ssure the professional non-biased handling of ballots and stacking of the decks through the placement of voters in constituencies on deeply problematic electoral rolls

    najis n UmnoB/BN will not SUE U, but they may BAN U fr entering minority-elected i-Melayu-1st M’sia

  4. #4 by Aristotle on Tuesday, 7 January 2014 - 12:50 am

    Country is in a state of deficit and we got dungusss still saying government very prihatin. Sarawak biggest state and natives are “robbed” almost every second. Yet still, we got some East Malaysians (not all of course) saying “dont blame us for BN victory”. Well Pakatan, you really need to think hard how to solve the East Malaysia puzzle.

  5. #5 by Noble House on Tuesday, 7 January 2014 - 4:52 am

    The ‘Allah’ issue is less about religion than it’s about Umno Baruputras domination and their claim to the exclusive right to set the country’s agenda, riding roughshod over the concerns of the minorities. It’s about exploiting the Muslim /non-Muslim dichotomy, Ketuanan Melayu, institutional racism, and putting the non-Malay minorities in their place.

    Using the pagan concept of Hell to keep the masses in subjection to power-hungry and often evil political and religious men and women has often been a more effective means of enslaving the masses than military might itself.

    By comparison, the parallels between communism and Umno Baru-ism are obvious — the manner in which corrupt politicians and party officials are punished for which you’ve got to hand it to the communist!

  6. #6 by Bigjoe on Tuesday, 7 January 2014 - 7:18 am

    Najib, in his maiden new year speech to his staff, talked of reform and how everything would be for nought if they do not – blaming the problem he has on execution rather than policy itself. While execution has always been an issue with our govt, it is not as if the leaders themselves are not guilty of just as bad skills on top of having basically wrong policies. Their position gets into their head that they are better than those they blame or worst not responsible ultimately.

    What is worst governance than having your leaders live in denial about the problem and keep blaming and working on the wrong things?

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