As I see it

By Hussein Hamid

The past:

Big win gives Malaysia’s Abdullah mandate

The 2004 elections won by Barisaan’s Nasional was the biggest for any Political Party in Malaysian history. With a parliamentary majority of over two thirds, the multi ethnic Barisan Nasional coalition that UMNO heads can pass law uncontested. This success was matched in polls for the state assemblies with Barisan winning 12 of the 13 states.

This puts to rest the challenge of PAS in the Malay heartland states in the North and seemed to wipe out Keadilan.

Wan Azizah Wan Ismail, faced a recount in her seat, which was once occupied by her husband Anwar Ibrahim who is now serving a 15-year jail term for sodomy and abuse of power, and the party looked unlikely to win any other seats.

Current realities:

The Star said it all with its headlines “MALAYSIA DECIDES” a prophetic announcement of things to come. These Newspaper headlines confirms the realities.

  • Malaysia’s ruling coalition suffers stunning blow.
  • Anwar’s daughter, jailed activist among shock Malaysia winners.
  • Polls deal stunning rebuke to Barisan
  • Malaysian PM’s future bleak after poll shock.
  • Barisan loses two thirds majority.
  • Malaysian opposition claims Selangor.
  • Malaysian opposition claims Penang.
  • Malaysian Opposition claims Perak.
  • Malaysian opposition claims Kedah.
  • PAS claims Kelantan State.

    The Future:

    (as I see it).

    The 2012 General Elections won by Pakatan Rakyat meant that for the first time in 60 years the Coalition of Barisan Nasional headed by UMNO was ousted from power. The overwhelming Parliamentary majority of 70% obtained by the Pakatan Rakyat in Parliament was the culmination of its efforts that begun in the 2004 election where it had then managed to show a respectable result by gaining control of five states from Barisan. However Barisan under Najib’s leadership manage to get back Perak by engineering defections from within the ranks of Pakatan Rakyat. In State election held a year later Pakatan Rakyat took back control of the State with an overwhelming majority ensuring a return to the status quo as at the General Elections.

    The period between the 2008 and 2012 was marked with the gradual erosion of popular support for the Barisan Nasional as manifested in the victory by the then opposition in numerous by elections held. Efforts were made by Barisan to stem this tide by changing its leader Najib for Mayuddin mid stream in 2010 but this had instead resulted in a steady flow of UMNO stalwarts to Pakatan Rakyat as those within UMNO sought to mend fences with their previous leader Anwar Ibrhim and transfer alliances to Pakatan Rakyat in a bid to keep onside with the
    change of fortunes in Malaysian Politics.

    These results brings into play a new dynamics of Politics without the racial divide, leaders within Pakatan Rakyat who are multi ethnic and unencumbered by the baggage of alliances formed through the convenience of money politics and vested interest. It will be interesting to see how this will be reflected in the days to come – in their choice of Prime Minister, Cabinet Ministers and other appointments necessary for them to form the next Government.

    That my friends would be the scenarios of the next General Elections if we keep our faith with Pakatan Rakyat. Let us not lose our nerve. Let us not allow racial politics to come in between us and allow UMNO to divide and rule and most critical let common sense guide our aspirations for a Malaysia for all Malaysians.

  1. #1 by SpeakUp on Tuesday, 11 August 2009 - 3:53 pm

    “That my friends would be the scenarios of the next General Elections if we keep our faith with Pakatan Rakyat. Let us not lose our nerve. Let us not allow racial politics to come in between us and allow UMNO to divide and rule and most critical let common sense guide our aspirations for a Malaysia for all Malaysians.” – Hussein Hamid

    The author has failed to see that the scenario can only happen if PR learns to SERVE the people AS PROMISED. Keeping our faith in PR will not bring victory. If PR does not lose any supporters it will still be a BN win. PR needs to WIN MORE SUPPORTERS. But how can it?

    I will not by giving excuses like in Penang such as “Over my dead body only means as long as ….” or fighting non stop over matters what show a clear racial or religious divide or even trying to undo each other as in Penang and Kedah and Selangor.

    Perhaps some bloggers are correct … PR needs to be taught a lesson. PR has missed the point that it needs to win more voters. A lot more to take over the government.

  2. #2 by Loh on Tuesday, 11 August 2009 - 7:41 pm

    Sorry, off topic

    ///5. Socialism and Communism were conceived in single ethnic countries. What gave rise to these ideologies were the disparities in the distribution of wealth within these nations. The working class rose violently against the rich employers, killing even their own same ethnic Csar, because of the unfair wealth distribution.

    6. So we must ensure fair (not equal) distribution of wealth before forgetting racial origins simply because the disparities are between races and not between class.///– TDM,

    Communism is the work of Karl Marx’s imagination, and the book was written at the British Library in England. Communism was first implemented by Russia, and it might be fair to say that the environment gave favourable conditions to the implementation of communism in that country. It was the leaders who seized power first, and they used communism to justify their actions. It is not very different from NEP when riots had first been organized. Different justifications but they fit into the same method of operation.

    Fair distribution will have no other denominator, such as race, to consider its fairness. Right or wrong does not depend on the race of the person involved. Class is just a stratification describing different scores. Class certainly transcend religion and race. Disparity of income could be between people of different heights or weights, region and it can be between people of different races, or within a race. Thus, it allows racial opportunist to pick whatever he needs to advance their political interest, and moulding the mindset of their die-hard supporters.
    Karim Raslan wrote in the Atar, Quote: Anthony Milner who published a book entitled “The Malays” argues that the British introduced and promoted the idea of a broader Malay identity in order to smoothen their administrative needs. He found it hard to locate a specifically Malay identity that pre-dates the British colonial. Most people in the region tended to identify themselves according to the particular rivers and local royal courts. Unquote

    It is clear that the term Malay was only introduced by the British when Malaya became a colony. So when Malays feature in the constitution, the history of the country should date from British’s control of this land. Equally when the term Malay is defined in Article 160 of the constitution, the history should only date from Independence Day. The Malays now are clearly not Malays of pre-Independence, and do not have the right to claim benefits from past history.

  3. #3 by GreenBug on Tuesday, 11 August 2009 - 8:53 pm

    YB Kit, while I and many other Malaysians would like to see the same scenario come 2012 with Pakatan winning 70% of the votes / seats, make sure you and colleagues serve the people and avoid those childish squabbles which are irritating and distracting. Get rid of some obvious thorns in the flesh like Dzulkifli Noordin, Hassan Ali and that fella Wee Chee Keong issit?

  4. #4 by vsp on Tuesday, 11 August 2009 - 10:17 pm

    There are too many cannibals in Pakatan. They love to eat up their own kind instead of keeping the most dangerous animals, UMNO out for their own safety and protection. In fact these cannibals are found in all Pakatan component parties: PKR, DAP and PAS. For PKR, many of these cannibals originate from UMNO itself, who thought they can find easy prey in Pakatan. For the cannibals in PAS like Hassan Ali they were the Biro Tatanegara Pharisees type who only believe that they are the anointed ones (for your information, Hassan Ali was PAS Biro Tatanegara camp commandant at one time, now I am not sure). In DAP there are the warlords also who don’t use their brains to think and they found it difficult to tame the most mischievous member of their body – the tongue.

    If Pakatan is to have any hope of coming out in one piece those cannibals with the foot-in-the-mouth disease or the shoot-in-the foot cowboys can be salvaged but have to be inoculated. The no-hope cases like Hassan Ali, Zulkifli Nordin and Wee Choo Keong have to be shot or C4ed immediately.

  5. #5 by HJ Angus on Tuesday, 11 August 2009 - 11:28 pm

    Guys, let’s face it.
    Whoever forms the next government is going to have a tough job but my take is that it is up to PR to lose it.
    If PR wins, it will have a tough job controlling the civil service unless it can quickly show it is fair and consistent and some key posts will have to be secured or you can end up like Perak.
    A PR government is not going to be perfect but that is what a real democracy is about. You get a chance to serve and if you screw up, the people have the power to trade you in for another government after 5 years.
    So go and compile a list of major issues like:
    Police accountability – Teoh’s death
    PPSMI – our children’s future in jeopardy
    PKFZ – a case in point for corruption

    My view is that the BN may be returned after the 5 years if they truly reform and the PR screws up big time.
    But we owe it to ourselves to create the 2-party system for the future of Malaysia.

  6. #6 by SpeakUp on Wednesday, 12 August 2009 - 11:19 am

    Hj Angus … what is wrong with those in civil service la? Idiots issit? I did speak with some councils, they really could not care less who is in power as they say life goes on. BUT the agencies like PDRM and MACC etc, that is another case.

  7. #7 by johnnypok on Friday, 14 August 2009 - 4:22 am

    GE 12 – BN/UMNO lost 5 states

    GE13 – BN/UMNO surrender without a fight, Sabah and Sarawak pull out, while Malaya join Singapore

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