Malaysia General Election: Will there be a 13 GE?

by Richard Loh
Tuesday, May 22, 2012

I had posted an article in 2010 that He will win solidly if GE 13 is called any month within that year and I still hold my believe till the eve of Bersih 3.0. Even with His statement of ‘crushed bodies & lost lives’ and rumors that His special team reporting to Him that He may lose the 13 GE, I still believe He will win solidly.

But everything seems to fall into place post Bersih 3.0 indicating that He is indeed fearful of losing the 13 GE.

Surveys after surveys giving the same results that His popularity is gaining traction and many voters are returning to His stable. This is true but what we understand is that most surveys were carried out via telephone. I still accept the results and reading from political expert opinion I believe He will win solidly and that is up till the eve of Bersih 3.0

A Fluid Situation

I stop wasting my time on twitter after seeing how those cybertroopers armchair critics can spin, distort and lie to get into His good book and strongly supported by the MSM, even crowning them as ‘sensational twitterer’.

When and where do you go to get the most accurate political survey? Let me tell you where I went. Pasar malam (night markets) and early morning wet markets, these are the people who are seldom interested in politics but still are aware whats happening around them.

Talking to them face to face can somehow tell you what were inside their minds even if they lied. Of course not all those you approached are willing to share their political views but you still get a decent 6 out of 10 people willing.

It is true that He is gaining popularity and the various surveys confirmed that. It is also true that those who voted the opposition in 308 are now considering voting Him. But, there are also those who voted the ruling government in 308 that will not be voting them again.

Generally, most were taken in by His disbursement of CASH but many do not believe or understand His never-ending alphabet soup – GTP, ETP, PTP, NEM, NKEA, NKRA, NEAC, EPP,….Sadly for Him He can’t contest in every seats in the country and majority of the voters are waiting to see who their candidates will be in their respective constituency before deciding which party to vote.

So, by being popular individually with a high of 69% may reap in a few extra votes and this conclude that He is a few points ahead but the overall situation is fluid. I believe that this fluidness is the cause of concern for Him and interpreted by His special team as ‘may lose’.

Creating And Finding Excuses To Avoid GE 13?

The only way to call off GE 13 is when the country is in turmoil!

Is He planning to avoid GE 13 in as early as 2010 when calling for ‘crushed bodies and lost lives’? Initially my thought was that He was just instilling fear but subsequent happenings that followed indicated that not only fear but a message to carry it out when necessary.

Later on, His speech with racial tone at Pekida to rile up more Malay support and His silence over Perkasa and MSM, especially Utusan irresponsible racist and religious reports and statements.

While He kept silence, on the ground, gangsterism & hooliganism provocations were at work with the latest report of riot at Merlimau. All these are to create tension among the rakyat and they are just waiting for the rakyat to get impatient and retaliate back when all hell will break loose. Luckily the rakyat are not responding back physically but waiting patiently to vent their anger at the ballot box, is He willing to let this happen?

One salvo after another to get the rakyat to response to their gangsterism & hooliganism provocations but to their dismay the rakyat are smart enough.

The best opportunity came when Bersih 3.0 was held. There is no reason to stop Bersih from holding the rally at Dataran Merdeka but they went ahead to get the court order banning anyone from entering. WHY?

The chaos that ensued after 3pm that day is now under investigation. The statement from various authorities were that ‘rioters’ breached the barricade and they are doing a great job to contain the ‘rioters’. But if you were there on that day or reading from other reliable news reports and those who wrote their experiences facing the tear gas and water cannon, journalists attacked and the way they rampaged through the city trying to catch as many as possible, you will realised that the authorities claim were incomplete.

The way they handled the supposedly called rioters who breached the barricade was indeed trying to create more chaos. I could not leave after the rally when the LRT stations were closed, no buses and taxis. I call it an ‘entrapment’. You can read my Bersih 3.0 story here .

The best opportunity they had was Bersih 3.0 but failed again because the rakyat do not have any intention at all to start a riot nor overthrowing the government.

Seeing that failure they changed their script with ex IGPs claiming of communist presence and mimicking His statement that Bersih 3.0 rally was trying to overthrow the government. The bombarding and demonisation campaign against Bersih 3.0 continue till today while His people are hard at work trying to link all sorts of bad things that Bersih 3.0 were, in order to find it guilty and getting the rakyat to hate and reject it.

Next, He tried using His party anniversary to show He can gather a bigger crowd but failed yet again. Now He has no choice but to target individuals. Ambiga is now being harassed, opposition leader Anwar charged together with Azmin and Badrul hoping that their supporters will rise in anger. We can expect more gangsterism & hooliganism provocations and He will continue to remain silent.

Lastly, do you see what He meant when He compared the coca cola secret recipe in not revealing the polling date? Coca cola recipe has been kept secret for over a century and will never be revealed. Is He trying to hint that GE 13 will never happened?

Whatever He may try to do, the rakyat must remain calm and not retaliate to whatever provocation physically. Be patient, just leave the scene of any provocation, nobody is calling you a coward. We only have less than a year when the 5 years term is up and if we remain tolerant and ride through their gangsterism & hooliganism provocations He will have no choice but to dissolve parliament and call for GE 13.

  1. #1 by cseng on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 10:49 am

    How come?

    Surveys show He has won.

    BR1M 500 sudah kasi, millions give-away announced.

    Army votes, undi Pos ready.

    Umno 1million gathering, huge success, all his ABC, DEF, GHI programs, also huge success!

    What is He waiting for? something is missing here.

    Still waiting, someone is rocking His seat, and that someone is capable of anything jokingly serious.

    Whoever His guru is, post 428, shaking butts to other, petty actions of petty minds, charging Anwar are activities that lose His votes.

    Therefore, someone must be seriously aiming at his seat.

  2. #2 by Apa on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 11:13 am

    Really why must he be spelt ‘He’?

  3. #3 by Jeffrey on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 11:43 am

    Doesn’t the Bible capitalize “He” and “Him” when referring to God? However I don’t think author Richard intends the Him here to be equated with the Almighty or omnipotence – more likely just as a ‘personification’ of PM Najib. When using personification and use of capital “H”, the author assumes the person of which reference is made by “He” or “Him” is well known or deductible from context of and what’s being written, and hence there’s no need for Him to be even specifically named/identified.

  4. #4 by k1980 on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 11:47 am

    He, His, Him—- Is Richard Loh speaking about the Lord Almighty who handed Moses the 12 Commandments?

  5. #5 by dcasey on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 12:01 pm

    He who acts as god or thinks he is god! Why then is he printing good money and giving it away free?

  6. #6 by monsterball on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 1:17 pm

    The day that Najib feels he can win the13th GE…he will not delay one minute to announce the 13th GE date.
    The longer he delays…the worst off for him.
    Right now…all sorts of stunts to create havoc and hope violent confrontations occur and give him a reason to declare Emergency Rule.
    He is pacing and like a chess player…using all his pawns… to strike where he feels he can win.
    At the same time….this Rouge King play the role of a caring and sharing leader.
    The chances of 13th GE will be on is because many UMNO b influential politicians will not allow Najib to spill blood to stay free.
    It leaves him no choice…but to have it and the timing to announce the his advantage is daily calculated and recalculated.
    It is a matter of life and death for him and his family.
    Believe it.

  7. #7 by monsterball on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 1:20 pm

    And you can consider Najib is a wounded Tiger King with not much power.
    But a wounded Tiger is very dangerous.
    PR politicians are daily watching how he will be wagging his tail.
    So far..the tail shows he is a toothless tiger….no power to hurt anyone.

  8. #8 by dagen wanna "ABU" on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 1:25 pm

    Jib is stuck. And he is profoundly confused. Survey results with high personal rating contrasted badly with the 300,000 people who turned up during bersih 3.0 – many of them young malays. What is going on? And to make matters worse, 300,000 showed up despite all the goodies he had distributed. That cant be right!! The umno election magic is no longer working?

    Let us work out some numbers. A bit of guesswork is called for of course. If for everyone who turned up during bersih 3.0, there are (say, conservatively) two others who are in support of the bersih movement and who for various reason did not show up, then the total number (who wanted clean and fair election) could well be a whopping 900,000.

    Now this is a frightening figure indeed. I believe the real figure is larger than 900,000. If this is so then for umno, defeat is almost a certainty. Losing is a small problem. Losing a good source of wealth for them is a greater problem. And by far the greatest fear and problem for umnoputras is the possibility of going to prison for all the hanky panky that has been going on over the decades.

    So the risk of losing is unbearable really. That explains why jibby jib is stuck and does not know what to do.

  9. #9 by yhsiew on Wednesday, 23 May 2012 - 1:39 pm

    I believe he wants an early GE13 because of the “French court” factor. If he keeps delaying GE13, information unfolding from the French court may reduce his chances of keeping his incumbent position. Unfortunately, Bersih 3.0’s unexpected huge turnout, police brutality and cattle-condos have prevented him from calling an early GE13.

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