By M. Bakri Musa
(Third of Four Parts)
The Ugly and Dysfunctional Mahathir-Anwar Pair
As leader, Mahathir is essentially a one-man team, a loner. He exhibits the typical alpha-male monkey mode. An alpha monkey could tolerate other males in the colony only if they were to submit to him, or be seen doing so. Any hint of a non-deferring behavior or “dissing” would be dealt with quickly until the challenger is either driven out or fatally finished off. Such leaders have little use for a deputy, partner, or a team. Instead he needs a sidekick, in the manner of a Jim McMahon to Johnny Carson; someone to make the leader looks good and be the butt of his jokes.
Consider Mahathir’s relationship with his first deputy, Musa Hitam. It went well so long as Musa deferred to Mahathir, that is, by being submissive. In the beginning, Musa was exactly that. The moment he began to assert himself or received more attention than Mahathir, it marked the beginning of the end for Musa.
The same dynamics governed Mahathir’s relationship with his third deputy, Anwar Ibrahim. Like Musa, Anwar was only too willing to be Mahathir’s sidekick and to humor him, at least initially. And why not; Anwar was handsomely rewarded, as seen by his rapid ascent in the party and government. Mahathir never viewed Anwar as a threat seeing that he was very much younger and thus could patiently bide his time. That scenario would have successfully played out to the end had Anwar not succumb to the impatient goading of his many impatient and greedy supporters.
Mahathir’s alpha male traits were never more in display following UMNO’s highly contentious leadership convention of 1987 which saw Tengku Razaleigh nearly toppling Mahathir. In the aftermath, Mahathir had to do what every alpha monkey male would, that is, get rid of its challenger.
It did not surprise me that the deputies Mahathir was most comfortable with were Ghaffar Baba and Abdullah Badawi. Both played the role of the sidekick only too well, especially Abdullah Badawi. Unfortunately they, specifically Abdullah, only played the role, as Mahathir found out too late and much to his regret.
Ghaffar Baba also played the second fiddle role exceptionally well, leading many to underestimate him. His inability to speak English merely reinforced the public perception of his shortcomings; many also doubted his intellect. Nothing could be further from the truth. He had a formidable intellect; however being a kampong boy with no family connections, the best that he could aspire to was the Sultan Idris Training College.
Not only was Ghaffar well endowed with innate intelligence, he was also “street smart,” but he skillfully hid both under his characteristic and very Malay humility. Make no mistake, the late Ghaffar Baba could read the Malay psyche very well, a skill that Mahathir usefully tapped. In that respect he contributed considerably to the partnership with Mahathir. Ghaffar was no mere sidekick, as many saw him.
With his vast understanding of the nuances of Malay culture, Ghaffar could have successfully fended off Anwar’s challenge, but Ghaffar knew that his party was in desperate need of new blood. At the same time he did not wish to see the party that he loved so dearly be fractured by an intense rivalry at the top. It was those noble considerations that made him gave way to Anwar, and not, as many believed, his fear of defeat. Ghaffar exhibited class as well as courage in bowing out early in that tussle with Anwar; he put his party’s interest ahead of his own. That is a rarity among today’s politicians.
As for Abdullah, when a previously non-alpha male monkey takes over, it first instinct is to kill all the babies of the previous alpha male in an attempt to eliminate his predecessor’s genes in the colony. This was what Abdullah did by ‘killing’ off Mahathir’s many ‘babies,’ his pet mega projects.
Abdullah’s mistake was not realizing that Mahathir had not been ‘killed’ or banished from the colony. That alpha monkey was still in the same jungle, imperiously perched high up on another tree, the Petronas Twin Towers. He was still very much alive and influential. Abdullah never knew what hit him when Mahathir unleashed his fury.
Because he was essentially a one-man show, Mahathir’s legacy would be at considerable risk once he is gone. We saw that already when Abdullah took over, only that he was so clumsy and inept. Had Mahathir cultivated younger leaders a la Tun Razak to Tunku, or even a not-so-young but a capable one a la Razak to Dr. Ismail, Mahathir would have greatly enhanced the caliber of his leadership as well ensure that his legacy would endure.
I predict that once Mahathir is gone, his long tenure would merit only an asterisk in our modern history, as Mao Zedong is to China’s. Mao ruled for over a quarter of a century. It would be a gross understatement to say that he had the greatest (though not necessarily positive) impact on China and the Chinese. Yet today, if one were to ask the throngs of shoppers at Beijing’s many modern shopping malls who Mao was, the likely response would be, “Mao, who?” Not too long ago they even threw his wife into jail. Some legacy!
Sizing Up Najib and Muhyiddin
Najib is an aristocrat, the son of a former prime minister. He comes from a modern nuclear family: father, mother and the five sons, Najib being the oldest. He had a privileged upbringing, including boarding school and university abroad. Najib and his brothers had plenty of parental love, what with their stay-at-home traditional mother. Even though the late Tun was a busy man, rest assured that with only five sons, he would remember and celebrate their birthdays.
Muhyiddin is one of over four dozen children of a village alim with multiple wives. It would be unlikely for his father to even remember Muhyiddin’s name, much less his birthday. In dynamics, young Muhyiddin had essentially a fatherless childhood. He attended the village school and later a small town high school, before proceeding to the local university.
The wives they have chosen too are very different. Najib’s current wife, his second, is the poster girl for extravagance and vulgarity, a Malaysian Imelda Marcos, except that Imelda had a weakness only for shoes. Muhyiddin’s wife is the typical kampong girl; she views her job as being to be by his side; to be seen but never heard.
It is easy to imagine Rosmah being actively engaged in her husband’s business. I cannot even contemplate Muhyiddin seriously engaging his wife in serious matters. He is the typical alpha kampong male; he knows what is best and his word rules.
Their seven-year age difference means that Muhyiddin could not possibly succeed Najib in the usual transition process. Muhyiddin is the older, so by the time Najib retires, Muhyiddin would be too old to take over. The only conceivable way for him to get the top slot would be if Najib’s tenure were to be prematurely cut short, by unexpected death or sordid scandals. Both are not remote possibilities. Najib’s father died in his early 50s from leukemia, and that malady remains lethal even today. As a timely reminder, many a Third World leader had succumbed to fatal “accidents.”
Scandals would be the more likely career killer for Najib. He certainly has some nasty ones hanging over him, from the brutal murder of the Mongolian model to his admitted conversations with Anwar Ibrahim’s alleged sodomy victim. Then there are the steady streams of squalid incompetence during his tenure as Defense Minister, from stolen jet engines to newly-acquired submarines that would not dive.
It does not escape everyone’s notice that far from defending Najib, Muhyiddin seems to relish his superior’s travails. Worse, he does not even bother to hide his delight.
In Malaysian politics, followers could sniff right away rivalries at the top. They would then quickly realign their positions and shift their loyalties in the hope of latching onto the winning team. The game would quickly degenerate into a sport of running down the opposing camps, with temporary alliances forged, broken, and then re-constituted to meet the quickly evolving dynamics. Thus expect even more ugly revelations from all sides.
This is already happening. Many are shocked at the utter corruption and rottenness of the party and its leaders. While such exposés would be bad for the party, they would be good for the country, especially considering that the next general election will only be a few years away.
Many would conclude that the inevitable collapse of UMNO under Najib to be the fulfillment of the RAHMAN prophecy, the “N” of the acronym representing Najib. I argue otherwise. There is no alignment of the stars that would preordain such an outcome. Rather what we have here reflects nothing more than Najib’s lack of leadership and the dearth of talent within UMNO. Had Mahathir chosen Najib instead of Abdullah as his (Mahathir’s) successor, Najib’s and thus UMNO’s political demise would have come sooner.
Were that to happen, my only regret would be to see the inglorious end to what was once an illustrious Malay institution – UMNO. Tun Razak was one of the key personalities in setting it up. It took only a generation to destroy what he had worked very hard to create and build. It would the supreme irony that it would be his son who would be responsible for destroying UMNO.
That would be quite a legacy.
Next: Salvaging Najib
#1 by johnnypok on Monday, 12 April 2010 - 11:33 am
The sooner TDM kick the bucket the better for the country. Project IC/ Porject M has virtually destroyed Sabah. So I call upon Sabahans to unite and to kick BN/UMNO out of Sabah. Anwar is our savior. Together we save Sabah and save Malaysia. Vote PR.
#2 by Bigjoe on Monday, 12 April 2010 - 11:35 am
Najib is playing this game of publicly moving for reform but in reality its just changes more for cosmetic reason than real. But despite the fact the changes are really just cosmetic, he is being opposed publicly by the likes of Perkasa and the right-winger of his party.
Najib is hoping to convince the right-winger that it does not change their crony-politics – that they just have to be smarter about it. In reality its possible but the leader of the right-winger is overly ambiitious and his own desire to rise is killing that plan.
So this is actually a fight between Najib and Ibrahim Ali. While ultimately Muhiyiddin will be the one to rise if Najib falls, its Ibrahim Ali, Najib need to neutralise if he wants to keep Muhiyiddin in check. If Najib fails to marginalise Ibrahim Ali, Muhiyiddin will push him over and out.
So the issue is can Najib sideline Ibrahim Ali? By outsourcing the right wing to Perkasa, it is but a first step. Najib next have to coopt Ibrahim Ali – to get him to tone down eventually and declare that Najib and Perkasa isn’t far apart. The problem is Ibrahim Ali want a very high price for his cooperation – a price Najib may not be able to meet. In order to reduce the price, Najib has to deliver by spending and economic growth – something he is delusionally thinking cannot get worst. There is no way he can achieve enough revenue and growth to negotiate the demands of Ibrahim Ali. Any surprises – either in a slowdown or a scandal and Najib is in deep trouble. There lies Najib’s problem – he does not think anything big is going to happen. Its something called the long-tail probability problem – he think its a thin long tail whereas its more likely its a fat long tail given history. Something is bound to happen and it happens more likely than he think.
So we just have to wait for Najib to get into trouble. The only way he can save his skin is to go for election quickly – next 12 month is all he got. Otherwise, its eventual he will fall..
#3 by frankyapp on Monday, 12 April 2010 - 12:57 pm
I think NR created 1malaysia and Perkasa aka Ibrahim Ali with a purpose. You see guys,he is using 1malaysia agenda to telling and appealing to all non malays especially the chinese and indian that he (NR) is fighting pretty hard even against his own race using and giving excuses such as Ibrahim Ali aka Perkasa as an example to save guard non malays interest.It’s NR’s agenda though it appeared that Perkasa is Ibrahim Ali and TDM brainchild. I think non malays malaysians won’t be so easily fool by him/Umno/Bn.
#4 by Loh on Monday, 12 April 2010 - 6:25 pm
///With his vast understanding of the nuances of Malay culture, Ghaffar could have successfully fended off Anwar’s challenge, but Ghaffar knew that his party was in desperate need of new blood. At the same time he did not wish to see the party that he loved so dearly be fractured by an intense rivalry at the top. It was those noble considerations that made him gave way to Anwar, and not, as many believed, his fear of defeat.///– M Bakri Musa
Bakri Musa was trying to rewrite history. Either he was not aware of what actually happened, or he chooses to mislead those who are too young to know the truth.
There was the system of bonus votes based on nomination by UMNO divisions. After the nomination from most of the UMNO divisions, it has only one outcome; Ghafar Baba could not win the election against Anwar, even if he got two-thirds of the votes cast at the GA.
It was only after Anwar showed Mamakthir that bonus votes won’t help Ghafar Baba that Mamak changed the bonus votes system to a pre-qualification approach.
#5 by monsterball on Monday, 12 April 2010 - 8:22 pm
Razak is the key player to bring Malaysia to hell with him.
The son is performing the unfinished work.
Razak brought Mahathir back to UMNO.
Mahathir needed to kill off Tunku’s original UMNO and started his “UMNO BARU”…with what we are seeing today…the most corrupted political party in the world..and he took on to protect Najib…and fulfilled his obligations to Razak.
Such are the people governing our country.
A one gang of robbers and thieves…from father to son.
And if anyone try to twist that DAP is doing exactly the same…one needs to tell me how smart is Hishamuddin..to be qualified as a Minster?…and Najib…is the best liar and tape recorder for Mahathir..right now.
Mahathir is well pleased to see Najib put his son as a Deputy Minister too!!!
You think…such people have all Malaysians at heart..or divide to ruler…as the so call protector of his own race..with low class MCA supporting this out-dated politics….because MCA have been voted out….and depend on UMNO BARU..right now. So how sincere is MCA …you tell me?
Lim Guan Eng…..why he is well qualified and smart….accepted by the party wholeheartedly.
Above all…DAP is not governing the country…therefore..no comparison with UMNO at all.