11-Day Countdown to 13GE: 4th Objective of the Battle of Gelang Patah – Pakatan to target 12 parliament seats from the non-BN fixed deposit states in Peninsular Malaysia to pave the way to Putrajaya in 13GE

Over the past 3 days, I have outlined the three objective of the Battle of Gelang Patah as part of the larger objective to propel Pakatan Rakyat to Putrajaya.

The Third Objective which I outlined yesterday was Pakatan’s target to win 33 out of 83 parliamentary seats in the three fixed deposit states of Johor, Sabah and Sarawak.

If Pakatan can successfully defend the 80 parliamentary seats it won in the non-fixed deposit states in Peninsular Malaysia in GE12 and the Kuala Terengganu by-election, and if Pakatan can win 33 additional seats in the three BN fixed deposit states of Johor, Sabah and Sarawak, then Pakatan would exceed the magic number of 112 needed to form the Federal Government.

However, Pakatan can only win with a good and comfortable majority if we can win at least 125 parliamentary seats in 13GE, comprising say 45 seats for PKR and 40 seats each for DAP and PAS.

To reach the 125 seat (or a 28 seat majority) target, Pakatan needs to win 12 more parliament seats from the non BN-fixed deposit states.

This the Fourth Objective of the Battle of Gelang Patah.

There were a total of 25 parliament seats which the BN won less than 55% of the popular vote (not including Kuala Terengganu). There is at least one of these BN marginal seats in every one of the non BN fixed deposit seats. Pakatan will target to win half of these seats. The 12 marginal seats which Pakatan can realistically win include Arau in Perlis; Alor Setar in Kedah; Kuala Nerus in Terengganu; Larut, Kuala Kangsar, Kampar and Lumut in Perak, Bentong, Raub and Jerantut in Pahang, Sabak Bernam and Pandan in Selangor, Rembau in Negri Sembilan and Bukit Katil in Melaka.

The other marginal BN seats which are in our sights are Dungun in Terengganu; Jerlun in Kedah; Padang Rengas, Tambun, Parit, Tapah, Pasir Salak and Bagan Datok in Perak; Temerloh in Pahang; Sepang in Selangor; and Jempol in Negeri Sembilan.

These seats are already marginal seats to begin with. Many of these seats have experienced a sizable increase in the number of new voters, many of whom are younger voters who are more attracted to Pakatan’s hope for the future than to be threatened by BN’s scaremongering references to the past.

With more time for preparation and the fielding of candidates who have worked the ground in these areas, Pakatan’s chances of being able to deliver another 12 seats out of these 25 marginal seats and at the same time defend all of its seats won in the non BN-fixed deposit seats look bright.

The Battle for Gelang Patah has already sent out political ripples to nearby seats in Southern Johor. We will see it spread to the rest of Johor in the coming weeks.
During the campaign, the surge in the mood for change will emerge from the ground in Sabah and Sarawak, which can no longer be considered fixed deposit states for the BN.

This groundswell will also emerge in the other non BN fixed deposit states in Peninsular Malaysia and will send the Pakatan to power in Putrajaya and Najib to a newfound position as the leader of the opposition, which also may be a short lived position for him.

No wonder then that Najib is too ‘kiasu’ and ‘kiasi’ to dissolve Parliament as he knows that his time as the 6th Prime Minister is coming to an end and that even his time as BN opposition leader after the 13th general election will be a short lived one.

  1. #1 by cseng on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 11:30 am

    This is it! PR approach the journey to Putrajaya with a plan, with mathematical logic.

    Look at BN, two-third, two-third and two-third, like an election song.

    Bapa kiasu and kiasi.

  2. #2 by Taxidriver on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 12:26 pm

    Welcome to Johor bro Lim. Hentam the arrogant and corrupt UNMO/BN kaw kaw. From what I hear and know, you will also receive Malay support apart from the Chinese and Indians. Long Live PR ….. TORA! TORA! TORA!

  3. #3 by Winston on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 1:44 pm

    Yes, the die is cast.
    And it’s time for UMNO/BN to die!!!
    No wonder the rogues are in a quandary!!!

  4. #4 by Winston on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 2:16 pm

    GE13: Irrational to punish Barisan, Daim advises Chinese voters – End of quote

    The above is a headline in the Staronline today – 31March 2013.
    Looks like the oldies from UMNO/BN are coming out of the woodwork to plead for votes.
    And this is at least the second time that this rascal has done so!!!
    But haven’t the scums said before that the Chinese are immigrants, prostitutes and that they will bathe their kris in Chinese blood?
    Just by saying such things will be enough to make the Chinese voters hate them.
    Why are these oldies like him and Mamak so shaken up by the coming GE when they should be enjoying life in their old age?
    For the simple reason that their crimes are now catching up with them.
    When PR is in Putrajaya, they will be hauled up to court and the chances are that they and their collaborators will spend the rest of their lives in the slammer without the possibility of parole.
    Some may fare even worse!!!
    The advice of the electorate to these rogues is: Crimes do not pay!!!!!
    When you scam the citizens of this country, did you ever give a thought to this wise evergreen saying?
    Just let the lesson sinks in!!!
    It’s never too late!!!!!!!!!

  5. #5 by donplaypuks on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 2:22 pm

    At the moment, it’s all about hype, bravado and throwing the gauntlet down. Nothing less can be expected, given Najib has scurillously and disgracefully dragged out the election issue. And Pakatan is surely poised to take over the reins of Government? I mean, only the insane will vote back in UMNO/BN with Najib/Muhy/Kerismudin – a Government of Thieves – at the helm!

    At this stage, public perception of all the issues is very important and the MSM and blogs will play a significant role. But, guess who reads the MSM and blogs? “Lim Kit Siang is read by….” Lol! Check out http://donplaypuks.blogspot.com/2013/03/yes-prime-minister-youd-be-shocked.html

    we are all of 1 Race, the Human Race

  6. #6 by yhsiew on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 6:40 pm

    It’s dogged as does it.

  7. #7 by chengho on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 6:53 pm

    BN moving for 2/3 majority

  8. #8 by Taxidriver on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 8:43 pm

    With billions of ringgit throw here and there, with the help of phamtom voters and millions of philipinos, Indons, Banglas and pakistanis, BN is moving for 3/2 majority. Anything less than that will see Najib being kicked out by Mahathir and geng. Najib must win 3/2 majority to stay in power. Agree, chengho?

  9. #9 by cseng on Sunday, 31 March 2013 - 10:02 pm

    yes, Gelang Patah…. Patah that Gelang, break that shackle, welcome the new dawn.

  10. #10 by cinaindiamelayubersatu on Monday, 1 April 2013 - 1:08 am

    PR aiming for comfortable majority,insyaala

  11. #11 by Noble House on Monday, 1 April 2013 - 2:31 am

    I wouldn’t want to be in Najib position given the dilemma he is in. Even those given their new indentities by the EC with looks even our Malays find strange are not going to help him. It is a case of ‘Damned if I do, and damned if I don’t.’ No wonder he is having two minds.

  12. #12 by Bigjoe on Monday, 1 April 2013 - 7:46 am

    Well, we got King Mahathir out to do hand-to-hand combat with LKS, Anwar, Nik Aziz in Gelang Patah and he gets low-down and dirty and no better than Zukiflee Nordin and Ibrahim Ali..

    Negarawan? LOL! If you go to India and Pakistan, these kinds of negarawan are EVERYWHERE…

  13. #13 by boh-liao on Monday, 1 April 2013 - 8:19 am

    Objectif #1: UBAH, ABU, Just Kick UmnoB/BN Out!

    Dat useless bo hoot Pg BN chief TCY, just wait what kind of excuse he will come out with 2 avoid facing LGE in Padang Kota, his old hunting ground

  14. #14 by monsterball on Monday, 1 April 2013 - 8:33 am

    Everyday…nearing the 13th GE…PR is doing what they are elected for…and telling out their confidence publicly.
    It seems with all the provocations …for trouble by Home Minister..fall into deaf ears.
    Fearless are PR politicians.
    Fearless is People Power.
    Hisham has a big mouth…a coward and a cow brain.

  15. #15 by monsterball on Tuesday, 2 April 2013 - 11:32 am

    Chengho is on heat…like a bitch.

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