By Dr Chen Man Hin, DAP life adviser
NEM 2 unlikely to attract investors to help create a high income economy for Malaysia
When NEM 1 was presented to the people, it showed promise, and there was hope that this time, there is a chance to have an high economy that is dynamic and booming. The report talked about liberalisation of the economy and that it would be inclusive, meaning that NEM would cater to the interest of all the the people whether Malays, Chinese, Indians and the natives of Sarawak and Sabah. So people waited expectantly for announcement of NEM 2.
Unfortunately, there were rumblings of dissatisfaction from a group of extremists – Perkasa. They vehemently opposed the proposal to dump the NEP (New Economic Policy) with its bumi equity quota. PM Najib attended a meeting with Perkasa, and because of their objections, Najib agreed to rescind the proposal to drop NEP.
Against this background, analysts and economists waited for the announcement of NEM 2, hoping for the best but fearing for the worst.
NEM 2 was bad news. Chapter 8 indicated that it accepted the 10th Malaysia Plan proposal to retain the 30% bumiputera corporate equity ownership as a target. This was very depressing and it was reflected by the mood of the people, when PM Najib presented NEM 2 on the 3rd December. There was no joy and no celebration. It is back to square one. No hope for high income economy. We are going to stay poor. Were some of the comments from the people.
As for analysts, noted economist Mr Navaratnam was disappointed with NEM 2, and feared that foreign investors would stay away.
MARKET DISTORTIONS. Other analysts indicate that the economy was beset by various market distortions like the NEP, corruption, corrupt judiciary, APs, subsidies and preferences.
FATAL ERROR. PM Najib decision to give in to Perkasa’s demand to continue the bumi 30% equity quota was a big mistake – a very costly mistake. It is not going to help Malaysia to join the competitive high economy club like Singapore or Taiwan or S Korea, but more likely join banana republics like or Zimbabwe or Timor Leste. He has forgotten the 40 years of NEP which retarded the economy of Malaysia and cause its per capita income to be a lowly US$8,000 compared to Singapore US$34,000, Hong Kong $32,000 or S Korea $20,000.
It took malaysia several decades to earn a US$8,000 per capita. Hampered with the NEP in tow, the chances of reaching high income economy of US$16,000 by year 2020 is quite slim.
In NEW 2 Chapter 6, there is this narrowing disparities policy. This is the way out for Najib. There is this alternative to NEP to include bumiputras into the mainstream of a high economy era. It proposes a market friendly affirmative action to transform the bumiputra community. The key is liberalisation which will improve the educational and competitive instincts to be independent and earn high position in society or the businss world.
The 21st century is the Asian century. China and India are the locomotive engines to get Asia moving. PM Najib must take steps to ensure that Malaysia has a just place in a rising Asia. PM Najib can be another Deng Xiao Peng. Just as Chairman Deng took the liberalisation trail to wealth and prosperity for China, so must Najib take the liberalisation road to wealth and riches for Malaysia.
#1 by yhsiew on Wednesday, 8 December 2010 - 6:17 pm
Najib should ask himself this question, “Why must FDI park their money in Malaysia?”
#2 by Loh on Wednesday, 8 December 2010 - 7:10 pm
///Unfortunately, there were rumblings of dissatisfaction from a group of extremists – Perkasa. They vehemently opposed the proposal to dump the NEP (New Economic Policy) with its bumi equity quota. PM Najib attended a meeting with Perkasa, and because of their objections, Najib agreed to rescind the proposal to drop NEP.///– Dr Chen
That was all a show for Najib to retain the 30% NEP target which had long been achieved but Najib and UMNO pretends that it had not been, and he refused to have a proper evaluation. UMNO needs the 30% as an excuse to carry on with other oppressive NEP policies such as employment in civil services, enrollment in universities and the continuation of MARA institutions and colleges. The country is not changing the course of racism. Najib thought that he could fool some non-Malays to participate to lay the ground work for a high income economy. The past 53 years, and more glaringly the last twenty years after the NEP had been extended from 1990, at UMNO’s will without regard to a promise made by Razak that NEP was for a generation of 20 years, show that UMNO serves only race and religion, perhaps out of conveniences, but would not accept non-Malays as equal citizens. I am happy that Malaysia is stuck as a low income country because the majority wants this a racist country and the majority should suffer their ignorance.
#3 by born in Malaya on Wednesday, 8 December 2010 - 9:16 pm
as long as UMNO is in government , NEP will never be dropped, this is because they need NEP to woo votes.
Just vote for PKR for a better future.
Kick BN out forever.
#4 by Bigjoe on Thursday, 9 December 2010 - 10:55 am
Forget the NEM 2. The issue is what is really Najib’s economic program? The truth is the program is about spending and mega projects – a lot of real estate stuff but with new people running it (he really will change the players i.e., those he deemed more capable and hope to be less corrupt) Where does that lead us?
The problem is the coming challenges is quite daunting – we are going to see rising energy prices, higher inflation and and a ‘jobless’ recovery i.e., real challenges in creating mass employment even low-wage ones.
Najib’s plan will benefit a few people, those lucky enough to be part of the mega projects directly, those projects spin off are very limited. The problem is that whatever little ‘multiplier’ effect is negated by all the ignored challenges that will be compounded by his plans to increase GST and remove subsidies. For most of us, it actually mean zero of negative gain.
Najib’s plan is a class war, worst, its actually a subset of it- a group-war. If you are inside the privilleged group, its great, if you are outside, it makes absolutely nothing or worst. Do you think you are part of the very top ‘cool kids’? and its the very top only – those who get invitation to the party is not part of it – only those who actually run the party and are ‘stars’ of the party. The rest of us are just spectators and get to be envious for their pleasures
#5 by k1980 on Thursday, 9 December 2010 - 12:02 pm
Get ready for 13GE! The sandiwara has begun, with Ling Long Sick and Java Toyol charged in court for fraud. Remember Dollah’s sandiwara of Eric Chia and Kasitak Goddom in 2003?