If PKR leader Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail had resigned as Permatang Pauh member of parliament to pave way for Anwar to contest in byelection for the seat and if Anwar’s arrest to be charged for Sodomy II is most imminent, who is going to lead the charge as “Opposition Head/leader” in Dewan Rakyat to raise and debate the burning issues of the day????

YB Kit I suggest you resume the position as Opposition Head that you made way for Dr Wan Azizah, and Anwar coming after her.

We can’t have an Opposition without a leader in Parliament in the tumultuous times ahead. Surely you don’t expect any of PAS leaders to asiume that mantle. If Paktan Rakyat gives them half an opportunity they will seize it to advance their theocratic agenda and profile in Parliament.

Will DSAI get arrested within 48 hours?

For police to submit their completed investigations to AG implies the probability that they think they have a prima facie case to sustain an arrest and charge.

Whether AG will so charge will depend in part on whether he agrees with the police’s assessment that there is a case and in part the political calculations of the government of pros and cons in proceeding against DSAI.

Whether it would be within 48 hours depends on AG’s judgment as stated.

Will there be a big demonstration if DSAI were arrested?
Possible though not that likely. PKR’s supporters may want to demonstrate but how big that will be will depend on PAS and its supporters who are the better organized and the ready of the lot for such streets demonstrations. [Of late PAS has distanced itself from Anwar and some of its leaders are even talking with UMNO on Malay unity]. So PM’s assessment that his arrest is unlikely to provoke widespread demonstrations warranting an emergency rule is likely the probable case.

Will an arrest of DSAI affect his contesting in by-election for the Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat?

Not likely since being arrested and charged does not mean a person is guilty and as long as not convicted he is still eligible to be MP, isn’t it the case??

However this is really a do or die Kamikaze mission on DSAI’s part because the BN will want to treat Permatang Pauh for DSAI as the “Waterloo” for Napoleon and conceivably much “fire power” (money) will be brought in to defeat DSAI once and for all.

Notwithstanding, in the short run, an arrest/sodomy charge will likely provoke a surge of sympathy that will enhance the already good chances of DSAI winning the Permatang Pauh parliamentary seat.

On BN’s side much depends on whether it could dig up something convincingly unsavory in the period running from Datin Azizah resignation to polling date of the by-election as presribed under the rules.

Otherwise once wining the by-election and being ensconced in Parliament, DSAI will take the battle from there against his BN’s nesmesises during the whole period of the trial.

It will a battle royale not only in the courts of law but the Court of Public Opinion, both domestic and international,which at this moment is still overwhelmingly tilted in favour of DSAI.

It will be a long haul – this arrest/charging business.

Once started, it would not end soon. There will, for sure, be peremptory challenges by Anwar’s lawyers on whether there is proper exercise of prosecutorial powers in light of medical reports evincing no sodomy; whether double jeopardy applies in Azizan/Saiful’s case, then the trial proper will, like that Altantuya Shaaribuu’s case drag for months end; even on conviction, there will be appeal to Court of Appeal and thereafter further to Federal Court by the conclusion of which it would be way past the hand over of power date (in 2010 from number 1 to no. 2).

The arrest/trial will signify not the end but the beginning of the real political tussle struggle and game as each side will via proxies will dig out as much dirty linen against the other side – which in a perverted way is a significant factor bearing on political will to continue prosecution or drop it, as the case proceeds along.

Meanwhile Malaysia will once again seize international notoriety and media attention for the wrong reasons – instead of stained mattress, there will be stained dildo, CCTV footages, etc

Side by side with Altantuya Shaaribuu’s case, the world will think that Malaysian politics is steeped in scandals whether sex (natural or the unnatural kind, murder most foul, bribery, kickbacks and hidden “war chest” with which to wage political battles. It is not going to help the economy in such globally challenging times….